How will Britain look like after the Brexit process has been completed and Britain is no longer a member of the European Union? The first step of the postwar government is to negotiate a trade deal with the EU to trade with the other European countries with minimal hassle. This trade deal will be an easy one, as EU standards already follow the British standards.
All that is needed is an agreement on the future evolution of those standards and a place to settle disputes, and the budget for running that place. Most likely, the standards will be driven by the EU, with the UK getting a minor voice in building them, UK could potentially get an equal vote with the other member states.
As for the place to settle trade disputes: as WTO is not really up to dealing with issues with British sensibilities, it's likely that the place would be closer to London. Perhaps in Luxembourg, a relatively neutral country between Brussels and London.
Making standards isn't cheap, there needs to be some budget for all the work required for that. This budget would be split between the EU and the UK in a proportional fashion. There will need to be some further integration of the UK and EU markets so that free trade Britain can flex its wings and fly on unhindered trade flows.
Domestically, there will be need for some extra revenue for the state to pay for the incurred onetime costs from the Brexit process. The UK is sitting on a sizable treasure chest in the form of untaxed corporate revenue squirreled away in its offshore tax havens. A reasonable course of action would be to impose a onetime 30% levy on all money held in UK tax havens, followed by a modest increase in the income and corporate taxes in the tax havens, perhaps to 20% or so.
In order to maintain public order and defend against foreign propaganda, the UK government would require that media organizations operating in the UK need to have 60% British ownership and the controlling owners need to be British nationals who are resident in the UK 183 days per year or more. Any broadcast or internet media organisations falling afoul of the ownership laws would be banned from operating in the UK to prevent UK's independence being eroded by targeted hostile falsehoods. UK can use their trade deal with China to acquire the technology needed to run an firewall around the islands. You could call it Hadrian's Firewall.
The firewall would open the British marketplace to British service providers, British internet utilities and British media companies. No longer would Britain have to pay billions of dollars of tribute to overseas companies for providing simple utilities like internet search, messaging boards and advertising services. Silicon Roundabout would grow into Silicon Britain, with British companies exporting worldclass highvalueadd services to billions of people around the world.
To meet the needs of an aging population, the NHS needs to be beefed up as the retirees can no longer be shuffled off to Spain. To pay for the NHS boost, there will have to be some mild tax increases on capital gains, foreign entities, corporations and high income earners. The government would be well advised to set the highest income tax bracket at 55%, with corporate revenues after salaries also subjected to progressive taxation ranging from 15% to 55% for the largest multinationals.
Given the increased tax income, Britain could well afford to build new cities and developments to sell affordable housing to all segments of the population, multiplying the size of the British property market. With millions of newlyminted homeowners, the proportion of income spent on nonproductive rental redistributions would fall and release a tsunami of private investment and increased productivity as motivated entrepreneurial homeowners take their stand and build billions of pounds worth of companies and create millions of new jobs.
To further prevent Brexit from causing great harm to the people of Britain, the British government needs to support its citizens. The one best way to improve the lot of the ordinary Briton is to reduce taxes on necessities. By getting rid of the VAT, the people of Britain will have 20% more money to spend on rebuilding Britain. For a family living on 20,000 pounds a year, this would free an extra 4,000 pounds to invest into their future and the future of Britain.
art with code
20170831
20170829
Brexit  What's going to happen
Brexit is well underway and the shape of the future relationship between the UK and the EU is becoming clearer. There are negotiations, yes, but the positions are very clear and the solutions to achieve those positions are also very clear.
1) EU citizens resident in the UK will get UK citizenship if they want. UK citizens resident in the EU will get a EU citizenship if they want.
2) Northern Ireland will become an independent country with a free movement & customs union with the Republic of Ireland. Ditto for Gibraltar. NI and Gibraltar will retain their UK military bases, perhaps they'll end up called NATO bases as a fig leaf.
3) UK will not be a part of the customs union and will not be part of a free movement arrangement.
4) UK will continue to do 60% of its trade with the neighbouring EU states, because they're next to it. EU will continue to do 15% of its trade with the UK, because it's next to it.
5) After the Brexit is over, UK will rejoin the European research cooperation institutions / Euratom / Europol / whatever.
6) Nigel Farage will be the next PM.
Why?
1) UK doesn't keep track of people after they enter the country. (In Germany and France, you need to register with the local authorities when you move in.) Therefore the UK can't easily send all EU citizens in the UK a polite letter asking them to end their lives in the UK. The easiest and cheapest (hey, austerity government) solution is to give them UK citizenship and require UK citizenship or work visa to take up employment. EU's position has been all along that UK citizens are EU citizens and they can stay if they want (proviso threemonth rules etc. free movement limitations.)
2) NI doesn't want to join the Republic. No one wants a hard border in Ireland. There's no realistic soft border solution that doesn't turn NI into the preferred smuggling route to and from the UK. So, soft border in Ireland, hard border between NI and the UK. Ditto for Gibraltar. Legit concerns in NI and Gibraltar about how real their independence is without way to push off RoI / Spain > UK military bases as guarantee.
3) Nonhard Brexit would bring Nigel Farage back into politics and everyone in the Tory party agrees that even a nuclear winter is preferable to that. So hard Brexit it is.
4) Trade is GDP per distance. Look at Finland for example. Its largest trading partners are Germany, Sweden, the Netherlands and Russia. Germany is near and has a large economy. Sweden is even closer. There are sanctions against Russia and yet Finland does more trade with Russia than with the UK / China / US. Distance matters in trade.
5) After the Brexit is over and the Farage threat has been neutralized, the lobbyists in Westminster are free to push the government to minimize the damage.
6) Farage can't be neutralized, only temporarily appeased.
1) EU citizens resident in the UK will get UK citizenship if they want. UK citizens resident in the EU will get a EU citizenship if they want.
2) Northern Ireland will become an independent country with a free movement & customs union with the Republic of Ireland. Ditto for Gibraltar. NI and Gibraltar will retain their UK military bases, perhaps they'll end up called NATO bases as a fig leaf.
3) UK will not be a part of the customs union and will not be part of a free movement arrangement.
4) UK will continue to do 60% of its trade with the neighbouring EU states, because they're next to it. EU will continue to do 15% of its trade with the UK, because it's next to it.
5) After the Brexit is over, UK will rejoin the European research cooperation institutions / Euratom / Europol / whatever.
6) Nigel Farage will be the next PM.
Why?
1) UK doesn't keep track of people after they enter the country. (In Germany and France, you need to register with the local authorities when you move in.) Therefore the UK can't easily send all EU citizens in the UK a polite letter asking them to end their lives in the UK. The easiest and cheapest (hey, austerity government) solution is to give them UK citizenship and require UK citizenship or work visa to take up employment. EU's position has been all along that UK citizens are EU citizens and they can stay if they want (proviso threemonth rules etc. free movement limitations.)
2) NI doesn't want to join the Republic. No one wants a hard border in Ireland. There's no realistic soft border solution that doesn't turn NI into the preferred smuggling route to and from the UK. So, soft border in Ireland, hard border between NI and the UK. Ditto for Gibraltar. Legit concerns in NI and Gibraltar about how real their independence is without way to push off RoI / Spain > UK military bases as guarantee.
3) Nonhard Brexit would bring Nigel Farage back into politics and everyone in the Tory party agrees that even a nuclear winter is preferable to that. So hard Brexit it is.
4) Trade is GDP per distance. Look at Finland for example. Its largest trading partners are Germany, Sweden, the Netherlands and Russia. Germany is near and has a large economy. Sweden is even closer. There are sanctions against Russia and yet Finland does more trade with Russia than with the UK / China / US. Distance matters in trade.
5) After the Brexit is over and the Farage threat has been neutralized, the lobbyists in Westminster are free to push the government to minimize the damage.
6) Farage can't be neutralized, only temporarily appeased.
20170826
Finnish rail privatization
TL;DR: Rent out train cars to commercial operators and give customers choice on which company's car they want to sit, but keep the core rail network and rolling stock as a staterun company funded by taxes.
The Finnish govt has decided to privatize the state railroad company. This is ... well, railroads are really terrible infrastructure to privatize. They need massive investment, make quite little money directly out of the investment and require central planning and cooperation to keep the network used at max capacity.
Building new rail is expensive, even in Finland where there are no people. No privatized railroad company has ever built any new rail. It's just not doable for a private company. Privatized companies are forced to operate on the existing network and wait for the government to foot the bill for new rail links. Sure, the companies might want to have new rail links or even just improve existing ones, but they don't have the money to do that. And they never will, because rail doesn't attract investors because rail doesn't generate enough profit. "Hey investor Bob, will you give us 5 billion euros to build a new rail link between these two towns? We reckon it'll pay itself off in increased tax payments to the govt in 20 years and it'll pay itself off to us, the rail company, in 180 years or so. While it might not affect our share price much, you'll recoup your investment in dividends in maybe as little as 700 years."
Running rail as a profitfocused company is directly in conflict with running rail as a service. A profitfocused approach to rail is: never replace running stock, automated ticket gates on train cars (unless the govt subsidizes ticket control on stations), no conductors, no station maintenance, vending machines in all cars, trains wait on stations until they have enough passengers, run trains as slowly as possible to minimize power costs, oversell seats as much as possible, no customer service, no train drivers, no rail network maintenance, only run segments of the track that generate profit, stop trains at companyowned service stations with an overpriced shopping mall and no other transport connections for an hour at a time, charge extra for "fast" trains, focus service on segments with no other public transport & charge through the nose, buy the stations and charge extra from lastmile connection providers & parking, make stations very difficult to navigate and fill them with shops, sell concession store space on trains, block mobile network on cars, sell expensive wifi, use sturdy cheaptowash and cheaptoreplace interior in cars (read: unpainted metal seats, standingonly trains, video ad displays mounted behind plexiglass). Train cars made out of repurposed shipping containers with no windows (they take money to wash). Wash cars using ceilingmounted sprinklers. No heating or AC because costly. Record everything customers do in the train and sell the tapes to advertisers.
Private rail operators, I'm available for consulting at $3000 per day. A steal at that price!
Nowhere in the "rail as profit" manifesto does it say: affordable, fast trains for comfortable travel. Transport networks are run to maximize longterm tax income through indirect boosts to the economy. Rail as profit is run to maximize shortterm income to owners of the rail companies (in the transport infra longterm, the owners will be dead).
The new private rail operators can't run more trains on the network, the current network is already saturated. And because they lack coordination with each other, they can't run the network at as high capacity as a single operator. The end result is fewer trains per day. Which means higher ticket prices and maximizing onjourney profit (read: selling stuff on train) to recoup the losses from fewer trains. Add to that the other costcutting and you get the classic death spiral (less revenue > cut costs, increase prices > fire employees, do less maintenance, provide less service, run trains slower, shut down unprofitable parts of the network > less revenue due to worse value proposition > cut costs, increase prices ... repeat until you reach a steadystate or go bust.)
How should you run a rail privatization then?
Keep the rail network and the rolling stock as staterun services. You can think of a rail network as a network of neighborhoods enabled by the network. Would you sell all those neighborhoods to a private company who could then wreck 'em and probably screw your tax revenues alongside causing suffering to your people living in them? Nope. So you keep the network and rolling stock as something you run.
For the country, the best rail network is one that has good coverage and that links together the maximum number of people for a given travel time and that transports the maximum amount of goods around the country. These are competing needs, so on good rail networks you end up with multiple levels of rail service: fast intercity trains that link cities into larger economic units, commuter trains that tie the surroundings of a city together, and cargo trains that run long slow trains between industrial centers, cities and ports.
For the country and the people, time spent in trains and waiting for trains (or cars for that matter) is time wasted. For that reason, the best commuter rail service is the one that runs fast trains frequently. Fast trains need a fast rail network. Frequent trains need a hightech rail network. Frequent fast trains need a fast hightech rail network. Which is kinda expensive.
At a governmental level, trains are profitable, much like road networks. They may be a big cost on a yearbyyear spreadsheet, but the profit is captured in taxation of the increased economic activity. As such, rail and road networks are pretty much guaranteed to run at a loss, and that's by design. At country level, the best rail and road network is one that's operating at full capacity. And you don't get to full capacity if you're charging the users of the network enough to recoup the costs. You get to full capacity if using the network is very cheap, but the network is paid for by the economic benefits it creates.
Privatizing the rail service is a terrible idea. You'd be creating a taxpayer subsidized company that isn't accountable to tax payers and .. well, for the owner of the private rail company, the most profitable setup is one where they don't have to run a service and get all the subsidy money. Running a rail service is not profitable. Rail services are all subsidized. Subsidized services need massive regulation to function (rather than just sucking in the subsidies). Massive regulation creates monopolies. Monopolies are best run as state services.
What you can (and probably should) privatize are the external services. "Hey companies A, B and C! We'll rent you some space and carts in our train! You'll have this many passengers in the train every day, and you can sell them improved service in your space." Ditto for stations (or perhaps, specifically for stations.)
Having company revenues depend on number of passengers on a train makes the companies want to increase rail network coverage and number of passengers on the network. By also having shops at the stations, companies would want the trips to be fast so that people can spend more time shopping.
Leasing cars to competing companies while fixing ticket prices for the majority of the seats and allowing customers to pick which car they want: companies would have incentive to create great travel experience to attract more customers for their onjourney sales. You'd still have guaranteed network capacity & maintenance, all the countrylevel benefits of a transport network, but you'd privatize the parts that aren't part of the core service.
For an example: the British rail privatization. The best part of British rail are the malllike stations and staterun inner city public transport (e.g. Transport for London). The actual privatized rail service is like if someone was paid to provide a rail service by the government and wanted to spend as little money on it as possible while extracting the maximum ticket price the traveler is willing to pay. To fix British rail, you'd have to turn it back into a staterun core network with privatized addvalue services.
The Finnish govt has decided to privatize the state railroad company. This is ... well, railroads are really terrible infrastructure to privatize. They need massive investment, make quite little money directly out of the investment and require central planning and cooperation to keep the network used at max capacity.
Building new rail is expensive, even in Finland where there are no people. No privatized railroad company has ever built any new rail. It's just not doable for a private company. Privatized companies are forced to operate on the existing network and wait for the government to foot the bill for new rail links. Sure, the companies might want to have new rail links or even just improve existing ones, but they don't have the money to do that. And they never will, because rail doesn't attract investors because rail doesn't generate enough profit. "Hey investor Bob, will you give us 5 billion euros to build a new rail link between these two towns? We reckon it'll pay itself off in increased tax payments to the govt in 20 years and it'll pay itself off to us, the rail company, in 180 years or so. While it might not affect our share price much, you'll recoup your investment in dividends in maybe as little as 700 years."
Running rail as a profitfocused company is directly in conflict with running rail as a service. A profitfocused approach to rail is: never replace running stock, automated ticket gates on train cars (unless the govt subsidizes ticket control on stations), no conductors, no station maintenance, vending machines in all cars, trains wait on stations until they have enough passengers, run trains as slowly as possible to minimize power costs, oversell seats as much as possible, no customer service, no train drivers, no rail network maintenance, only run segments of the track that generate profit, stop trains at companyowned service stations with an overpriced shopping mall and no other transport connections for an hour at a time, charge extra for "fast" trains, focus service on segments with no other public transport & charge through the nose, buy the stations and charge extra from lastmile connection providers & parking, make stations very difficult to navigate and fill them with shops, sell concession store space on trains, block mobile network on cars, sell expensive wifi, use sturdy cheaptowash and cheaptoreplace interior in cars (read: unpainted metal seats, standingonly trains, video ad displays mounted behind plexiglass). Train cars made out of repurposed shipping containers with no windows (they take money to wash). Wash cars using ceilingmounted sprinklers. No heating or AC because costly. Record everything customers do in the train and sell the tapes to advertisers.
Private rail operators, I'm available for consulting at $3000 per day. A steal at that price!
Nowhere in the "rail as profit" manifesto does it say: affordable, fast trains for comfortable travel. Transport networks are run to maximize longterm tax income through indirect boosts to the economy. Rail as profit is run to maximize shortterm income to owners of the rail companies (in the transport infra longterm, the owners will be dead).
The new private rail operators can't run more trains on the network, the current network is already saturated. And because they lack coordination with each other, they can't run the network at as high capacity as a single operator. The end result is fewer trains per day. Which means higher ticket prices and maximizing onjourney profit (read: selling stuff on train) to recoup the losses from fewer trains. Add to that the other costcutting and you get the classic death spiral (less revenue > cut costs, increase prices > fire employees, do less maintenance, provide less service, run trains slower, shut down unprofitable parts of the network > less revenue due to worse value proposition > cut costs, increase prices ... repeat until you reach a steadystate or go bust.)
How should you run a rail privatization then?
Keep the rail network and the rolling stock as staterun services. You can think of a rail network as a network of neighborhoods enabled by the network. Would you sell all those neighborhoods to a private company who could then wreck 'em and probably screw your tax revenues alongside causing suffering to your people living in them? Nope. So you keep the network and rolling stock as something you run.
For the country, the best rail network is one that has good coverage and that links together the maximum number of people for a given travel time and that transports the maximum amount of goods around the country. These are competing needs, so on good rail networks you end up with multiple levels of rail service: fast intercity trains that link cities into larger economic units, commuter trains that tie the surroundings of a city together, and cargo trains that run long slow trains between industrial centers, cities and ports.
For the country and the people, time spent in trains and waiting for trains (or cars for that matter) is time wasted. For that reason, the best commuter rail service is the one that runs fast trains frequently. Fast trains need a fast rail network. Frequent trains need a hightech rail network. Frequent fast trains need a fast hightech rail network. Which is kinda expensive.
At a governmental level, trains are profitable, much like road networks. They may be a big cost on a yearbyyear spreadsheet, but the profit is captured in taxation of the increased economic activity. As such, rail and road networks are pretty much guaranteed to run at a loss, and that's by design. At country level, the best rail and road network is one that's operating at full capacity. And you don't get to full capacity if you're charging the users of the network enough to recoup the costs. You get to full capacity if using the network is very cheap, but the network is paid for by the economic benefits it creates.
Privatizing the rail service is a terrible idea. You'd be creating a taxpayer subsidized company that isn't accountable to tax payers and .. well, for the owner of the private rail company, the most profitable setup is one where they don't have to run a service and get all the subsidy money. Running a rail service is not profitable. Rail services are all subsidized. Subsidized services need massive regulation to function (rather than just sucking in the subsidies). Massive regulation creates monopolies. Monopolies are best run as state services.
What you can (and probably should) privatize are the external services. "Hey companies A, B and C! We'll rent you some space and carts in our train! You'll have this many passengers in the train every day, and you can sell them improved service in your space." Ditto for stations (or perhaps, specifically for stations.)
Having company revenues depend on number of passengers on a train makes the companies want to increase rail network coverage and number of passengers on the network. By also having shops at the stations, companies would want the trips to be fast so that people can spend more time shopping.
Leasing cars to competing companies while fixing ticket prices for the majority of the seats and allowing customers to pick which car they want: companies would have incentive to create great travel experience to attract more customers for their onjourney sales. You'd still have guaranteed network capacity & maintenance, all the countrylevel benefits of a transport network, but you'd privatize the parts that aren't part of the core service.
For an example: the British rail privatization. The best part of British rail are the malllike stations and staterun inner city public transport (e.g. Transport for London). The actual privatized rail service is like if someone was paid to provide a rail service by the government and wanted to spend as little money on it as possible while extracting the maximum ticket price the traveler is willing to pay. To fix British rail, you'd have to turn it back into a staterun core network with privatized addvalue services.
20170824
More partial sums
Partial sums with unique input elements, for an alphabet of k elements, the time it takes to find a solution is at most 2^k, regardless of the size of the input. To flip that around, partial sums is solvable in O(n^k) where n is the size of the input and k is the size of the alphabet. Not that this does you any good, of course.
Notation duly abused.
Notation duly abused.
More on P & NP & partial sums
Another hack search problem solvable in polynomial time by a nondeterministic machine but not by a deterministic one. But it's not a proper problem. Suppose you have an infinitely large RAM of random numbers (yeah, this starts out real well). The problem is to find if an nbit number exists in the first 2^n bits of the RAM.
As usual, the deterministic machine has to scan the RAM to find the number, taking around 2^n steps. And as usual, the nondeterministic machine just guesses the n bits of the address in n steps and passes it to checkSolution, which jumps to the address and confirms the solution. Now, this is not an NPcomplete problem in this formulation, since the contents of the RAM are not specified, so there's no mapping from other NPcomplete problems to this.
Jeez, random numbers.
Given the lottery numbers for this week's lottery, compute the lottery numbers for next week's lottery. Nondeterministic machine: sure thing, done, bam. Deterministic machine: this might take a while (btw, is simulating the universe a O(n^k)problem?) Check solution by checking bank account.
Unique inputs partial sums then. First off, sort the inputs, and treat them as a binary number where 0 is "not in solution" and 1 is "in solution".
If all the numbers in the input are such that the sum of all smaller inputs is smaller than the number, you can find the solution in linear time. For (i = input.length1 to 0) { if (input[i] <= target) { target_bits[i] = 1; target = input[i]; } else { target_bits[i] = 0; }}
You can prune the search space by finding a suffix that's larger than the target and by finding a prefix that's smaller than the target. Now you know that there must be at least one 0bit in the larger suffix and at least one 1bit in the suffix of the smaller prefix.
The time complexity of partial sums is always smaller than 2^n. For a onebit alphabet, the time complexity is O(n). For a twobit alphabet, the max time complexity is 2^(n/2) as you need to add two bits to the input to increment the number of elements in the input. So for an 8bit alphabet, the max complexity would be 2^(n/8).
The complexity of partial sums approaches easy as the number of input elements approaches the size of the input alphabet. After reaching the size of the input alphabet, a solution exists if (2^a + 1) * (2^a / 2) <= target (as in, if the sum of the input alphabet is greater than or equal to target. And if the input alphabet is a dense enumeration up from 1.) You can find the solution in O(n log n): sort input, start iterating from largest & deduct from the target until the current number is larger than the target. Then jump to input[target] to get the last number. You can also do this in O(n) by first figuring out what numbers you need and then collecting them from the input with if (required_numbers[input[i]]) pick(input[i]), required_numbers can be an array of size n.
Once you reach the saturated alphabet state, you need to increase the size of the alphabet to gain complexity. So you might go from an 8bit alphabet with a 256 element input to a 9bit alphabet with a 256 element input (jumping from 2048 to 2304 bits in the process, hopefully boosting the complexity from O(256)ish to O(2^256)ish).
Thankfully, as you increase the alphabet size by a bit, your input size goes up linearly, but the saturation point of your alphabet doubles. At a fixed input size in bits, increasing the alphabet size can decrease the complexity of the problem, for each bit increase you can go from 2^(n/k) > 2^(n/(k+1)). Likewise, by decreasing the alphabet size, you can increase the complexity of the problem. Increasing the number of elements in the input can increase the complexity of the problem, while decreasing the number of elements can decrease the complexity. The "can" is because it depends. If you're close to saturation, increasing the number of elements can nudge the problem from O(n^2) to O(n), ditto for decreasing the alphabet size. Whereas increasing the alphabet size at saturation can turn your O(n) problem into an O(2^n) problem.
As your alphabet gets larger, the discontinuities stop being so important. Anyhow, for a given partial sums input size in bits, the problem is O(n) for alphabet sizes <= log2(n). The difficulty of the problem scales with the target as well. For targets smaller than the smallest input element and for targets greater than the greatest input element, it takes O(n) time.
Tricks, hmm, the number of searchenhancing tricks you can use depends on the input. I guess the number of tricks is somehow related to the number of bits in the input and grows the program size too. The ultimate trick machine knows all the answers based on the input and has to do zero extra computation (yeah, this is the array of answers), but it's huge in size and requires you to solve the problem for all the inputs to actually write the program.
Oh well
As usual, the deterministic machine has to scan the RAM to find the number, taking around 2^n steps. And as usual, the nondeterministic machine just guesses the n bits of the address in n steps and passes it to checkSolution, which jumps to the address and confirms the solution. Now, this is not an NPcomplete problem in this formulation, since the contents of the RAM are not specified, so there's no mapping from other NPcomplete problems to this.
Jeez, random numbers.
Given the lottery numbers for this week's lottery, compute the lottery numbers for next week's lottery. Nondeterministic machine: sure thing, done, bam. Deterministic machine: this might take a while (btw, is simulating the universe a O(n^k)problem?) Check solution by checking bank account.
Unique inputs partial sums then. First off, sort the inputs, and treat them as a binary number where 0 is "not in solution" and 1 is "in solution".
If all the numbers in the input are such that the sum of all smaller inputs is smaller than the number, you can find the solution in linear time. For (i = input.length1 to 0) { if (input[i] <= target) { target_bits[i] = 1; target = input[i]; } else { target_bits[i] = 0; }}
You can prune the search space by finding a suffix that's larger than the target and by finding a prefix that's smaller than the target. Now you know that there must be at least one 0bit in the larger suffix and at least one 1bit in the suffix of the smaller prefix.
The time complexity of partial sums is always smaller than 2^n. For a onebit alphabet, the time complexity is O(n). For a twobit alphabet, the max time complexity is 2^(n/2) as you need to add two bits to the input to increment the number of elements in the input. So for an 8bit alphabet, the max complexity would be 2^(n/8).
The complexity of partial sums approaches easy as the number of input elements approaches the size of the input alphabet. After reaching the size of the input alphabet, a solution exists if (2^a + 1) * (2^a / 2) <= target (as in, if the sum of the input alphabet is greater than or equal to target. And if the input alphabet is a dense enumeration up from 1.) You can find the solution in O(n log n): sort input, start iterating from largest & deduct from the target until the current number is larger than the target. Then jump to input[target] to get the last number. You can also do this in O(n) by first figuring out what numbers you need and then collecting them from the input with if (required_numbers[input[i]]) pick(input[i]), required_numbers can be an array of size n.
Once you reach the saturated alphabet state, you need to increase the size of the alphabet to gain complexity. So you might go from an 8bit alphabet with a 256 element input to a 9bit alphabet with a 256 element input (jumping from 2048 to 2304 bits in the process, hopefully boosting the complexity from O(256)ish to O(2^256)ish).
Thankfully, as you increase the alphabet size by a bit, your input size goes up linearly, but the saturation point of your alphabet doubles. At a fixed input size in bits, increasing the alphabet size can decrease the complexity of the problem, for each bit increase you can go from 2^(n/k) > 2^(n/(k+1)). Likewise, by decreasing the alphabet size, you can increase the complexity of the problem. Increasing the number of elements in the input can increase the complexity of the problem, while decreasing the number of elements can decrease the complexity. The "can" is because it depends. If you're close to saturation, increasing the number of elements can nudge the problem from O(n^2) to O(n), ditto for decreasing the alphabet size. Whereas increasing the alphabet size at saturation can turn your O(n) problem into an O(2^n) problem.
As your alphabet gets larger, the discontinuities stop being so important. Anyhow, for a given partial sums input size in bits, the problem is O(n) for alphabet sizes <= log2(n). The difficulty of the problem scales with the target as well. For targets smaller than the smallest input element and for targets greater than the greatest input element, it takes O(n) time.
Tricks, hmm, the number of searchenhancing tricks you can use depends on the input. I guess the number of tricks is somehow related to the number of bits in the input and grows the program size too. The ultimate trick machine knows all the answers based on the input and has to do zero extra computation (yeah, this is the array of answers), but it's huge in size and requires you to solve the problem for all the inputs to actually write the program.
Oh well
20170822
Tricks with nondeterminism. Also, partial sums.
TL;DR: I've got a lot of free time.
Nondeterministic machines are funny. Did you know that you can solve any problem in O(size of the output) with a nondeterministic machine? It's simple. First, enumerate the solution space so that each possible solution can be mapped to a unique string of bits. Then, generate all bitstrings in the solution space and pick the correct solution.
Using a deterministic machine, this would run in O(size of the solution space * time to check a solution). In pseudocode, for nbit solution space: for (i = 0 to 2^n) { if(checkSolution(i)) { return i; } } return NoSolution;
Using a nondeterministic machine, we get to cheat. Instead of iterating through the solution space, we iterate through the bits of the output, using nondeterminism to pick the right bit for our solution. In pseudocode: solution = Empty; for (i = 0 to n) { solution = setBit(solution, i, 0) or solution = setBit(solution, i, 1); } if (checkSolution(solution)) { return solution; } else { return NoSolution; }
You can simulate this magical nondeterministic machine using parallelism. On every 'or'statement, you spawn an extra worker. In the end you're running a worker on every possible solution in parallel, which is going to run in O(N + checkSolution(N))time, where N is the number of bits in the solution.
If you're willing to do a bit more cheating, you can run it in O(checkSolution(N))time by forgoing the forloop and putting every solution into your 'or'statement: solution = 0 or solution = 1 or ... or solution = 2^N; if (checkSolution(solution)) { return solution; } else { return NoSolution; }. If you apply the sleightofhand that writing out the solution as input to checkSolution takes only one step, this'll run in checkSolution(N). If you insist that passing the solution bits to checkSolution takes N steps, then you're stuck at O(N + checkSolution(N)).
A deterministic machine could cheat as well. Suppose that your program has been specially designed for a single input and to solve the problem for that input it just has to write out the solution bits and pass them to checkSolution. This would also run in N + checkSolution(N) time. But suppose you have two different inputs with different solutions? Now you're going to need a conditional jump: if the input is A, write out the solution to A, otherwise jump to write the solution to B. If you say that processing this conditional is going to take time, then the deterministic machine is going to take more time than the nondeterministic one if it needs to solve more than one problem.
What if you want the deterministic machine to solve several different problems? You could cheat a bit more and program each different input and its solution into the machine. When you're faced with a problem, you treat its bitstring representation as an index to the array of solutions. Now you can solve any of the problems you've encoded into the program in linear time, at the expense of requiring a program that covers the entire input space. (Well, linear time if you consider jumps to take constant time. If your jumps are linear in time to their distance... say you've got a program of size 2^N and a flat distribution of jump targets over the program. The jumps required to arrive at an answer would take 2^(N1) time on average.)
Note that the programasanarrayofsolutions approach has a maximum length of input that it knows about. If you increase the size of your input, you're going to need a new program.
How much of the solution space does a deterministic machine need to check to find a solution? If we have a "guess a number"problem, where there's only one point in the solution space that is the solution, you might assume that we do need to iterate over the entire space to find it in the worst case. And that would be true if checkSolution didn't contain any information about the solution. In the "guess a number"problem though, checkSolution contains the entire answer, and you can solve the problem by reading the source to checkSolution.
Even in a problem like partial sums (given a bunch of numbers, does any subset of them sum to zero; or put otherwise: given a bunch of positive numbers, does any combination sum to a given target number), the structure of the problem narrows down the solution space first from n^Inf to n! (can't pick the same number twice), then to 2^n (ordering doesn't matter) and then further to 2^nn1 (an answer needs to pick at least two elements), and perhaps even further, e.g. if the first number you pick is even, you can narrow down its solution subtree to combinations of even numbers and pairs of odd numbers. Each number in the input gives you some information based on the structure of the problem.
The big question is how fast the information gain grows with the size of the input. That is, suppose your input size is n and the solution space size is 2^n. If you gain (nk) bits of solution from the input, you've narrowed the solution space down to 2^(n(nk)) = 2^k. If you gain n/2 bits, your solution space becomes 2^(n/2). What you need to gain is a magical number that plonks exp(f(n)) <= k n^(k1). If there is such an f(n), you can find a solution to your problem in polynomial time.
If your input and checkSolution are black boxes, you can say that a deterministic machine needs to iterate the entire solution space. If checkSolution is a black box, you can do the "guess a number"problem. If your input is also a black box, you can't use partial solutions to narrow down the solution space. For example, in the partial sums problem, if you only know that you've picked the first and the seventh number, but you don't know anything about them, you can only know if you have a solution by running checkSolution on your picks. If you can't get any extra information out of checkSolution either, you're stuck generating 2^n solutions to find a match.
How about attacking the solution space of partial sums. Is the entire solution space strictly necessary? Could we do away with parts of it? You've got 2^nn1 different partial sums in your solution space. Do we need them all? Maybe you've got a sequence like [1,2,3,6], that's got some redundancy: 1+2 = 3 and 3+6 = 3, so we've got 3 represented twice. So we wouldn't have to fill in the entire solution space and could get away with generating only parts of it for any given input? Not so fast. Suppose you construct an input where every entry is double the size of the previous one: e.g. [1,2,4,8,16, ...]. Now there are 2^n1 unique partial sums, as the entries each encode a different bit and the partial sums end up being the numbers from 1 to 2^n1.
But hey, that sequence of positive numbers is never going to add up to zero, and the first negative number smaller than 2^n is going to create an easy solution, as we can sort the input and pick the bits we need to match the negative number. Right. How about [1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, ...]? That sequence generates partial sums that constitute all positive numbers and all negative numbers, but there is no partial sum that adds up to zero, and no partial sum is repeated. If your algorithm is given a sequence like this and it doesn't detect it, it'll see a pretty dense partial sum space of unique numbers that can potentially add up to zero. And each added number in the input doubles the size of the partial sum space.
Can you detect these kinds of sequences? Sort the numbers by their absolute value and look for a sequence where the magnitude at least doubles after each step. Right. What if you use a higher magnitude step than doubling and insert one lessthandouble number into the sequence in a way such that the new number doesn't sum up to zero with anything? You'll still have 2^n unique partial sums, but now the program needs to detect another trick to avoid having to search the entire solution space.
If the input starts with the length of the input, the nondeterministic machine can ignore the rest of the input and start generating its solutions right away (its solutions are bitstrings where e.g. for partial sums a 1 means "use this input in the sum" and a 0 means "skip this input"). The deterministic machine has to read in the input to process it. If the input elements grow in size exponentially, the deterministic machine would take exponentially longer time to read each input. Suppose further that the possible solution to the problem consists of single digit numbers separated by exponentially large inputs and that jumping to a given input takes a constant amount of time (this is the iffy bit). Now the nondeterministic machine still generates solutions in linear time, and checkSolution only has to deal with small numbers that can be read in quickly, but the deterministic machine is stuck slogging through exponentially growing inputs.
You might construct a magical deterministic machine that knows where the small numbers are, and can jump to consider only those in its solution. But if you want to use it on multiple different inputs, you need to do something different. How about reading the inputs one bit at a time and trying to solve the problem using the inputs that have finished reading. Now you'll get the small numbers read in quickly, find the solution, and finish without having to consider the huge inputs.
If the solution uses one of the huge inputs, checkSolution would have to read it in and become exponential. Or would it? Let's make a padded version of the partial sums problem, where the input is an array of numbers, each consisting of input length in bits, payload length in bits, and the payload number padded with a variablesize prefix and suffix of zeroes and a 1 on each end, e.g. you could have {16, 3, 0000 0101 1100 0000} to encode 011. The checkSolution here would take the index of the number in the input array and size of its prefix. This way checkSolution can extract and verify the padded number with a single jump.
Now, the deterministic machine would have to search through the input to find a onebit, using which it could then extract the actual number encoded in the input. For exponentially growing inputs, this would take exponential time. The nondeterministic machine can find the input limits quickly: for (i = 0 to ceil(log2(input_bitlength))) { index_bits[i] = 1 or 0 }. The nondeterministic machine can then pass the generated indices alongside with the generated partial sum permutation to checkSolution, which can verify the answer by extracting the numbers at the given indices and doing the partial sum.
Approaching it from the other direction, we can make a program that generates an exponentialsize output for a given input. Let's say the problem is "given two numbers A and B, print out a string of length 2^(2^A), followed by the number B." Now (if jumps are constant time), checkSolution can check the solution by jumping ahead 2^(2^A) elements in the output, reading the rest and comparing with B. You can imagine a nondeterministic machine with infinite 'or'statements to generate all strings (which by definition includes all strings of length 2^(2^A) followed by the number B.) The problem is that if writing any number of elements to checkSolution is free, the deterministic machine could also check A, execute a single command to write 2^(2^A) zeroes to checkSolution and another to append the number B. If there is no free "write N zeroes"loophole in the machine, and it must generate the string of zeroes by concatenating strings (let's say concatenating two strings takes 1 step of time), we've got a different case. Start off with a string of length 1, concatenate it with itself and you have 2, repeat for 4, etc. To get to a string of length 2^(2^A), you need to do this 2^A times.
But hey, doesn't checkSolution have to generate the number 2^(2^A) too to jump to it? And doesn't that take 2^A time? You could pass it that, sure, but how can it trust it? If checkSolution knows the length of its input (through some magic), it could jump to the end of it and then the length of B backwards. But it still needs to check that the length of its input is 2^(2^A) + length(B). If you were to use 2^A instead of 2^(2^A), you could make this work if string creation needs one time step per bit. (And again, if passing a solution to checkSolution takes no time.)
So maybe you set some limits. The machines need to be polynomial in size to input, and they need to have a polynomial number of 'or'statements. Jumps cost one time step per bit. Passing information to checkSolution takes time linear to the length of the info. You have access to checkSolution and can use it to write your machine. Each machine needs to read in the input before it can start generating a solution.
What's the intuition? Partial sums takes an input of size n and expands it to a solution space of 2^n, and the question is if you can compress that down to a solution space of size n^k (where n^k < 2^n for some n). A naive enumeration of the solution space extracts 0 bits of solution information from the input, hence takes 2^n steps but is small in size. A fully informed program can extract full solution information from the input (since the input is basically an array index to an array of answers), but requires storing the entire 2^n solution space in the program. Is there a compression algorithm that crunches the 2^n solution space down to n^k size and extracts a solution in n^m steps?
Partial sums is a bit funny. For fixedsize input elements that are x bits long, and a restriction that the input can't have an element multiple times, partial sums approaches linear time as the number of input elements approaches 2^x. If the input contains every different xbit number, it can generate all the numbers up to the sum of its input elements (i.e. the input defines a full coverage over the codomain). In fact, if the input contains every onebit number up to n bits, you can generate every number n bits long.
The time complexity of unique set partial sums starts from O(n) at n=1 and ends up at O(n) at n=2^n. (Or rather, the time complexity is O(n) when n equals the size of the input alphabet.) It feels like the complexity of partial sums on a given alphabet is a function that starts from O(n) and ends at O(n) and has up to O(2^n) in the middle.) There's an additional bunch of O(n) solutions available for cases where the input includes all onebit numbers up to 2^ceil(log2(target)). And a bunch of O(n log n) solutions for cases where there's a 2element sum that hits target (keep hashtable of numbers in input, see if it contains target  input[i]). And for the cases where there are disjoint twoelement sums that generate all the onebit numbers for the target.
The partial sums generated by an input have some structure that can be used to speed up the solution in a general case. If you sum up all the numbers in the input, you generate the maximum sum. Now you can remove elements from the max sum to search for the target number from above and below. With the twodirectional search, the difficult target region becomes partial sums that include half of the input elements. There are n choose n/2 half sums for an input of size n. The derivative of n choose n/2 approaches 2 as n increases, doubling the number of half sums on each step in input size.
You can also start searching from the target number. Add numbers to the target and try to reach max sum and you know which numbers you need to subtract from max sum to make up the target. Subtract numbers from the target and try to reach one of the inputs to find the numbers that make up the target.
Combining the two approaches. If you think of this thing as a binary number with one bit for each input element, on/off based on whether the element is in the solution. The bottom search runs from all zeroes, turning on bits. The max sum search runs from all ones, turning bits off. The fromtarget searches run from all zeroes and all ones, turning bits on or off respectively.
There is an approach for rejecting portions of the search space because they sum to a number higher than the target. Sort the input by magnitude, sum up the high end until the sum is larger than the target. Now you can reject the portion of the search space with that many top bits set. As the attacker, you want to craft a target and an input such that the search algorithm can reject as little of the search space as possible, up to the half sums region. However, this creates a denser enumeration in the half sums region, which makes clever search strategies more effective (e.g. suppose you have numbers from 1 to 4: now you know that you can create any number up to 10 out of them.)
To make the input hard, you should make the target higher than the largest number in the input, but small enough that it doesn't require the largest number in the input, the target should require half of the input elements, the input elements should avoid dense enumerations, onebit numbers, partial sums that add up to onebit numbers, disjoint bit patterns (and disjoint complements), the number of input elements should be small compared to the input alphabet, and they should be widely distributed while remaining close to target / n (hah). Your inputs should probably be coprime too. And you should do this all in a way that doesn't narrow the search space to "the top hardest way to build the target number out of these inputs".
For repeated number partial sums, if your input alphabet size is two, it runs in O(n), as the partial sums of zeroes and ones is a dense enumeration up to the number of ones in your input. For other repeated sums, it's difficult. Maybe you could think of them as modulo groups. And somehow make them work like uniques timecomplexitywise.
The trouble in partial sums are carries. If you change the problem to "does the binary OR of a subset of the input elements equal the target", the problem becomes easier "for all bits in the target, find an input that has that bit and none of the bits in the target's complement", which turns into target_check_bits[i] = input[x][i] & !(input[x] & !target).
Once you throw in the carries, suddenly there are multiple ways to produce any given bit. If you know that there are no carries in the input (that is, each bit appears only once in the input), the problem turns into the binary OR problem.
20170804
Acceleration, 3
Oh right, right, I was working on this. Or something like this. Technology research post again :(
First I was working on this JavaScript ray tracer with BVH acceleration and voxel grid acceleration. And managed to get a 870k dragon loaded into it and rendered in less than 30 seconds... In quite unoptimized singlethreaded JavaScript.
Then I had an idea and spent two weeks doing noisefree singlesample bidirectional path tracing. But it turns the highfrequency noise into lowfrequency noise and runs too slow for realtime. I'll have to experiment more with the idea. Shadertoy here. Start with the writeup and screenshots after that.
First I was working on this JavaScript ray tracer with BVH acceleration and voxel grid acceleration. And managed to get a 870k dragon loaded into it and rendered in less than 30 seconds... In quite unoptimized singlethreaded JavaScript.
Then I had an idea and spent two weeks doing noisefree singlesample bidirectional path tracing. But it turns the highfrequency noise into lowfrequency noise and runs too slow for realtime. I'll have to experiment more with the idea. Shadertoy here. Start with the writeup and screenshots after that.
Singlesample bidirectional path tracing + hemisphere approximation Smooth indirect illumination by creating the incoming light hemisphere on the fly based on the hemisphere samples of the surrounding pixels. See also: Virtual point lights, bidirectional instant radiosity First pass: Create path suffixes = point with incoming ray of light. 1. Shoot out primary ray and bounce it off the hit surface. 2. Trace the first bounce and store its hit point, normal and material. 3. Trace the rest of the path from the first bounce point and store the direction of the path. 4. Store the amount of light at the first bounce point. Now you have a path suffix at each pixel that has enough info to connect any other path to it. Second pass: Connect the primary ray to path suffixes in surrounding pixels. 1. Shoot out primary ray and calculate direct light for it 2. Sample NxN samples around the pixel from the path suffix buffer 3. Accumulate the light from the hemisphere. For each sample: 3.1. Calculate the direction to it: hd = normalize(sample.p  primary.p) 3.2. Accumulate light according to the BRDFs of the primary point and the hemisphere point. [3.3. Scale the light contribution with a pixel distance filter for smoother transitions] Extra passes: Create new path suffixes by connecting points in path suffix buffer to other path suffixes 1. Primary ray hits can act as path suffixes for hemisphere points (and have nice geometric connection at same px coord). 2. Hemisphere points can act as path suffixes for hemisphere points (but may lie on the same plane near px coord). 3. Add light from new path suffixes to primary hits. Why this might be nice?  Get more mileage from paths: in scenes with difficult lighting conditions, the chances of finding light are low for any given path. By summing up the contributions of 10000 paths, you've got a much higher chance of finding light for a pixel.  Less noise: noise is variance in hemisphere sampling. If neighbouring pixels have similar hemispheres, there's smooth variance and little noise.  If you have the budget, you can cast shadow rays to each hemisphere point and get correct lighting.  If you don't have the budget, you can use the hemi points as soft light and get blurry lighting  You can use the found hemisphere light to approximate a point's light distribution and guide your sampler.  You can use light samples from previous frames. What sucks?  If you don't cast shadow rays, you get light bleeding and everything's blurry.  Casting 1000 shadow rays per pixel is going to have an impact on performance  Direct lighting remains noisy (you can use direct light as a hemisphere sample but it causes even more light bleeding w/o shadow rays)  This scene smooths out at 64x64 hemisphere samples per pixel, which is expensive to sample  Increasing the size of your sampling kernel increases inaccuracies w/o shadow rays  It seems like you trade highfrequency noise for lowfrequency noise  Glossy stuff is hard The ugly:  Using three buffers to trace because no MRTs, otherwise could store hemi hit, normal, dir, primary hit, hemi color, primary color on a single trace, and recombine on the second pass.  Slow SDF ray marcher as the rendering engine  Not storing incoming light dir atm, all the lighting equations are hacks in this demo
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About Me

Ilmari Heikkinen
 Built art installations, web sites, graphics libraries, web browsers, mobile apps, desktop apps, media player themes, many nutty prototypes
Projects
 Filezoo  Minimalistic zoomable file manager
 Cake.js  JavaScript Canvas animation library
 Missile Fleet  A game written with Cake.js
 Gitbug  Inrepo bug tracker for Git
 Prelude.ml  OCaml stdlib replacement with a Haskellish flavour
 Metadata  File metadata extraction tool and Ruby library
 Thumbnailer  File thumbnailing tool and Ruby library
 Random canvas demos